Model Predictions
| Model | Jackson State Tigers | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | +7.8 | ✗ (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets -11 (64-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jackson State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daeshun Ruffin | 37 | 9-20 | 0-3 | 18-19 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 30 | +15.5 |
| Dorian McMillian | 34 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +11.6 |
| Jayme Mitchell Jr. | 29 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | +6.2 |
| Devin Ree | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +11.8 |
| Tamarion Hoover | 20 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Dionjahe Thomas | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Raevon Thomas | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +9.8 |
| Delyle Williams | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +3.6 |
| Kobe Butler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asjon Anderson | 38 | 4-18 | 2-9 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 1 | -16.7 |
| Tyler Byrd | 29 | 7-17 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 5 | -7.1 |
| Jerquarius Stanback | 27 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4.6 |
| Micah Simpson | 27 | 0-13 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6 | -11.6 |
| D. Yates | 27 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 16 | -12.3 |
| Cam Palesse | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -12.0 |
| R'Chaun King | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -13.6 |
| Mario Andrews | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Tyler Mason | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter