Model Predictions
| Model | Jackson State Tigers | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | +7.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets -11 (64-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jackson State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ruffin | 37 | 9-20 | 0-3 | 18-19 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 30 | +13.7 |
| D. McMillian | 34 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +12.7 |
| J. Mitchell | 29 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | +5.3 |
| D. Ree | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +11.6 |
| T. Hoover | 20 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | +4.5 |
| D. Thomas | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -2.4 |
| R. Thomas | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +13.5 |
| D. Williams | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +3.1 |
| K. Butler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Anderson | 38 | 4-18 | 2-9 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 1 | -16.1 |
| T. Byrd | 29 | 7-17 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 5 | -7.7 |
| J. Stanback | 27 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4.3 |
| M. Simpson | 27 | 0-13 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6 | -8.5 |
| D. Yates | 27 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 16 | -8.2 |
| C. Palesse | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -8.5 |
| R. King | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -15.6 |
| M. Andrews | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +0.5 |
| T. Mason | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter