Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.4% | 10.6% | -11.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.7% | 7.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils -20 (69-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Palesse | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Micah Simpson | 35 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Jerquarius Stanback | 32 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Asjon Anderson | 29 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 15-15 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Tyler Byrd | 23 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| R'Chaun King | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| D. Yates | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Mason | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamont Sams | 40 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Michael James | 39 | 4-16 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Delkedric Holmes | 26 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Patrick Punch | 25 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| X’Zaevion Barnett | 25 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Mussa Mzein | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Tyrone Iroghama | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Chance Sutton | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Daniel Mayfield | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter