Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.6% | 99.4% | +28.5 | ✓ (22.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +6 (93-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Simpson * | 36 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 7 | +14.0 |
| Asjon Anderson * | 35 | 9-20 | 6-12 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 17 | -2.1 |
| Cam Palesse * | 35 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +0.0 |
| Jerquarius Stanback * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | +29.9 |
| R'Chaun King * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +21.6 |
| Tyler Byrd | 17 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -2.5 |
| Tyler Mason | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.9 |
| D. Yates | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -12.0 |
| Mario Andrews | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.2 |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Hall * | 31 | 7-12 | 7-12 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 12 | +4.1 |
| Tomislav Buljan * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | +0.1 |
| Chris Howell * | 26 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3.8 |
| Deyton Albury * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -8.3 |
| Antonio Chol * | 22 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | -18.4 |
| Uriah Tenette | 29 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Luke Haupt | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -9.4 |
| Kevin Patton Jr. | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +3.3 |
| JT Rock | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Milos Vicentic | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -0.9 |
* = starter