Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +11 (90-79). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Simpson * | 37 | 5-17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 4 | -13.2 |
| Cam Palesse * | 37 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | -12.2 |
| Asjon Anderson * | 33 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 10 | -12.9 |
| Jerquarius Stanback * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 14 | -0.6 |
| R'Chaun King * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Damarien Yates | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -18.1 |
| Kevin Alabi | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -10.4 |
| Tyler Mason | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0.5 |
| Mario Andrews | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0.9 |
| Jordon Marshall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.3 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quion Williams * | 39 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 22 | +6.4 |
| Trevon Payton * | 37 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | +1.5 |
| Alex Mirhosseini * | 36 | 6-16 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7 | +4.1 |
| Milhan Charles * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | +16.6 |
| Jaquan Scott * | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Ramel Lloyd Jr. | 29 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 7-10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | +8.1 |
| Ahmad Johnson | 11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +4.0 |
| Anthony Sellars | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -0.7 |
| Dennis Asoro | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.8 |
* = starter