Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.2% | 77.8% | +6.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats +11 (82-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Palesse | 28 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Simpson | 26 | 1-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Mack | 25 | 7-10 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| T. Byrd | 25 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Yates | 22 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Stanback | 20 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| M. Andrews | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. Anderson | 16 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| J. Walker | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. King | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Heady | 38 | 7-13 | 5-7 | 7-10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Q. Heady | 35 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| S. Willoughby | 30 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| A. Bland | 26 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 22 | - |
| D. Rouzan | 21 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| A. Morris | 19 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Andrews | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Johnson | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Minor | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter