Model Predictions
| Model | Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.8% | 40.2% | -2.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets -15 (54-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobi Heady | 38 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | +9.8 |
| Doctor Bradley | 32 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | +8.8 |
| Seneca Willoughby | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Arterio Morris | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +5.3 |
| Daniel Rouzan | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -2.1 |
| Ariel Bland | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | +9.6 |
| Quentin Heady | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Tyler Andrews | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +4.0 |
| Jordan Johnson | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -12.9 |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Byrd | 36 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -3.8 |
| Micah Simpson | 33 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Cam Palesse | 31 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -7.5 |
| Jasteven Walker | 25 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -8.3 |
| D. Yates | 22 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | -18.4 |
| Tyler Mack | 20 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -7.6 |
| Jerquarius Stanback | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +11.0 |
| Mario Andrews | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +3.5 |
| R'Chaun King | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.7 |
| Jordon Marshall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
* = starter