Model Predictions
| Model | Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.9% | 39.1% | -2.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets -15 (54-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Heady | 38 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | +0.1 |
| D. Bradley | 32 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | +0.2 |
| S. Willoughby | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -3.9 |
| A. Morris | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +2.0 |
| D. Rouzan | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +0.1 |
| A. Bland | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Q. Heady | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Andrews | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Johnson | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -8.0 |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Byrd | 36 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +4.6 |
| M. Simpson | 33 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 4 | +4.7 |
| C. Palesse | 31 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +2.9 |
| J. Walker | 25 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2.9 |
| D. Yates | 22 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | +3.8 |
| T. Mack | 20 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +1.8 |
| J. Stanback | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +2.9 |
| M. Andrews | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| R. King | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Marshall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
* = starter