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2026-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Florida A&M Rattlers Grambling Tigers Spread Result
Elo 65.9% 34.1% -
Bradley-Terry 53.2% 46.8% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% -
Log Adjusted 38.1% 61.9% -
Points Off/Def 39.1% 60.9% -

Actual: Grambling Tigers -7 (59-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida A&M Rattlers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Sanders 34 7-11 1-5 1-2 4 1 2 0 1 16 11 -0.5
M. Octave 33 3-6 1-2 0-0 6 2 2 1 3 7 9 +5.2
T. Shirley 33 3-9 0-2 2-2 8 4 2 1 2 8 12 +1.8
A. Baker Jr. 32 4-11 0-2 4-4 7 0 1 0 2 12 7 +18.6
J. Chatman 23 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 3 1 -9.4
K. Washington 23 4-10 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 8 1 +0.8
M. Ndalama 22 5-7 0-0 2-4 7 2 0 2 5 12 11 +16.1

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ward 40 6-17 4-9 1-2 5 2 0 0 4 17 3 -7.7
R. Coffee III 38 4-10 2-6 0-0 6 1 1 0 4 10 4 -9.0
A. Munoz 27 3-8 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 1 2 7 3 -4.3
J. Lane 27 3-9 0-1 2-2 5 1 2 0 0 8 7 +1.9
D. Franklin 22 0-4 0-0 3-4 2 1 1 0 1 3 2 -14.3
J. Muttilib 19 3-6 2-4 2-2 0 1 1 0 1 10 5 -1.7
R. Ballard 17 0-3 0-3 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 2 4 -4.3
R. Amaefule 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.9
S. Seye 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -1.0
C. Perkins 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

* = starter