Model Predictions
| Model | Grambling Tigers | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | +0.2 | ✗ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets -2 (63-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Coffee III | 40 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 8-10 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| J. Muttilib | 39 | 9-20 | 2-10 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 13 | - |
| R. Ballard | 34 | 2-14 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -7 | - |
| D. Ward | 31 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Franklin | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Fitts | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Lane | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Perkins | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Simpson | 31 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| T. Byrd | 29 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| J. Stanback | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| A. Anderson | 21 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| C. Palesse | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T. Mason | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Mack | 18 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Yates | 15 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Walker | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Andrews | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. King | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter