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2026-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Grambling Tigers Texas Southern Tigers Spread Result
Elo 32.7% 67.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 45.8% 54.2% - โœ“
Margin 50.4% 49.6% -0.1 โœ— (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.8% 44.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 65.7% 34.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 55.6% 44.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 55.7% 44.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 48.8% 51.2% - โœ“

Actual: Texas Southern Tigers +3 (82-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Roderick Coffee III 38 7-11 3-5 0-0 2 5 2 0 3 17 12 +4.1
Jamil Muttilib 36 8-18 3-12 7-8 2 0 2 0 0 26 12 -8.7
Jimel Lane 30 5-7 0-2 1-2 11 2 2 0 1 11 18 +2.5
Derrius Ward 28 1-4 0-3 3-4 1 1 1 0 2 5 2 -1.3
Rickey Ballard 24 3-6 3-6 2-4 4 2 0 0 1 11 10 -16.2
Saliou Seye 18 2-4 0-0 3-5 3 1 0 0 1 7 6 +10.6
Devyn Franklin 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -1 -5.3
Mekhi Fitts 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.3
Randarius Jones 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -5.1
Chancellor Perkins 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -3.7

Texas Southern Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zaire Hayes 37 6-11 4-7 1-2 5 1 1 0 3 17 10 -5.7
Bryce Roberts 36 5-9 4-8 2-2 0 1 1 0 1 16 8 -2.0
Troy Hupstead 34 4-9 1-2 8-12 4 5 1 0 2 17 16 +10.4
Jordan Gorecki 32 5-5 0-0 5-8 6 2 1 1 1 15 19 +2.7
Jaylen Wysinger 31 4-8 1-4 2-3 3 6 1 0 2 11 11 -1.1
Alex Anderson 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 4 7 +2.5
Zytarious Mortle 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 2 3 -3.3
Anthony Andrews 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.9

* = starter