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2026-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Alabama State Hornets Grambling Tigers Spread Result
Elo 32.1% 67.9% -
Bradley-Terry 35.7% 64.3% -
Margin 31.5% 68.5% +4.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% -
Efficiency 23.4% 76.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.8% 66.2% -
Log Adjusted 33.9% 66.1% -
Points Off/Def 38.4% 61.6% -

Actual: Grambling Tigers +10 (57-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Simpson 33 5-16 3-8 2-4 6 3 3 0 1 15 10 -
T. Byrd 26 2-7 1-3 1-2 5 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
J. Stanback 25 1-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 3 3 2 0 -
A. Anderson 22 3-11 0-3 1-2 5 2 3 0 2 7 4 -
C. Palesse 20 2-7 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 4 1 -
T. Mack 20 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
M. Andrews 18 2-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 5 8 -
D. Yates 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
R. King 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Walker 7 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Coffee III 38 7-16 4-10 6-8 10 2 1 1 2 24 20 -
J. Muttilib 37 1-7 0-5 0-1 9 1 0 2 3 2 4 -
D. Ward 33 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 7 6 -
R. Ballard 31 4-10 4-10 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 14 7 -
D. Franklin 22 1-3 0-1 3-3 9 1 0 1 1 5 12 -
S. Seye 13 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 1 2 0 2 -
A. Munoz 7 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Perkins 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
PJ Edwards 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Fitts 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 -
R. Jones 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter