Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Grambling Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grambling Tigers +10 (57-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Simpson | 33 | 5-16 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| T. Byrd | 26 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Stanback | 25 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Anderson | 22 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Palesse | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Mack | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Andrews | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D. Yates | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. King | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Walker | 7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Coffee III | 38 | 7-16 | 4-10 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| J. Muttilib | 37 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Ward | 33 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| R. Ballard | 31 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| D. Franklin | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| S. Seye | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Munoz | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Perkins | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| PJ Edwards | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Fitts | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Jones | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter