Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Grambling Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grambling Tigers +10 (57-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Simpson | 33 | 5-16 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | -7.2 |
| Tyler Byrd | 26 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Jerquarius Stanback | 25 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +0.4 |
| Asjon Anderson | 22 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -4.1 |
| Cam Palesse | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -8.7 |
| Tyler Mack | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -9.1 |
| Mario Andrews | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -2.2 |
| D. Yates | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -8.8 |
| R'Chaun King | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.9 |
| Jasteven Walker | 7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +1.4 |
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roderick Coffee III | 38 | 7-16 | 4-10 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 20 | +11.2 |
| Jamil Muttilib | 37 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +5.6 |
| Derrius Ward | 33 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +0.0 |
| Rickey Ballard | 31 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Devyn Franklin | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Saliou Seye | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +5.9 |
| Antonio Munoz | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +6.2 |
| Chancellor Perkins | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| PJ Edwards | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
| Mekhi Fitts | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Randarius Jones | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.8 |
* = starter