Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Southern Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.8% | 73.2% | +5.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Jaguars +1 (69-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Simpson | 34 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 3-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Cam Palesse | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Byrd | 30 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Jerquarius Stanback | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Mack | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Mario Andrews | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Yates | 20 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| R'Chaun King | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jasteven Walker | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jacobs | 38 | 2-15 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| DaMariee Jones | 36 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| AJ Barnes | 30 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Terrance Dixon Jr. | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Cam Amboree | 20 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Fazl Oshodi | 20 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Hardy | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ashton Magee | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| PJ Dobuol | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe Manning | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter