Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Jaguars | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +6.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +3 (86-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Amboree * | 34 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Hardy * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Dixon Jr. * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Jones * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Manning * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Oshodi | 37 | 8-21 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 5 | - |
| AJ Barnes | 28 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Malek Abdelgowad | 25 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Keith Lamar | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Magee | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Bell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Drone * | 37 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Kyndall Davis * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Kaden Gumbs * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| DJ Hall * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Makai Willis * | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Bolden | 30 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| T. Sant | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Ky Pernell | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Robert Fields | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jaelyn Lee | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter