Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Southern Tigers | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.0% | 84.0% | +11.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.0% | 83.0% | +8.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +10 (77-67). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Hupstead * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 7-10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Zaire Hayes * | 20 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Duane Posey * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jaylen Wysinger * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kolby Granger * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Alex Anderson | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Cameron Patterson | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ahmed Nedal Abdelrahman | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zytarious Mortle | 16 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Andrews | 15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Gorecki | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Josh Akpovwa | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Gumbs * | 30 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Franck Emmou * | 30 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| DJ Hall * | 28 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Mark Drone * | 26 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Makai Willis * | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Kyndall Davis | 22 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| T. Sant | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Dimp Pernell | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Bolden | 10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter