Model Predictions
| Model | Longwood Lancers | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (22.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles +26 (92-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alphonzo Billups III * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -8.6 |
| Jacoi Hutchinson * | 26 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | -17.6 |
| Emanuel Richards * | 24 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -1 | -11.6 |
| Elijah Kelly * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8.3 |
| Elijah Tucker * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -2.3 |
| Johan Nziemi | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | -28.7 |
| Redd Thompson Jr. | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -15.2 |
| Jaylen Benard | 20 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -21.4 |
| Jaylin Payne | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -7.6 |
| Jerome Williams | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -10.3 |
| Isaiah Kalala | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3.1 |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Mayock * | 31 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | +2.5 |
| Greg Jones * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | +23.5 |
| Geoff Sprouse * | 27 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | +12.5 |
| Wyatt Nausadis * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +17.4 |
| Julen Iturbe * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +14.4 |
| Madden Collins | 24 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | +16.4 |
| Kade Sebastian | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +19.5 |
| Luke Brown | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +13.3 |
| Chris Eagan | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +2.1 |
| Dean Hogans | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +8.1 |
| Jack Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Matthew Casey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter