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2025-11-12

Model Predictions

Model James Madison Dukes Longwood Lancers Spread Result
Elo 55.2% 44.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 53.8% 46.2% - โœ—
Margin 50.4% 49.6% -0.1 โœ— (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.8% 49.2% - โœ—

Actual: Longwood Lancers +10 (82-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

James Madison Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eddie Ricks III * 34 3-7 2-4 1-2 12 1 2 1 2 9 16 -9.8
Bradley Douglas * 30 8-17 1-5 5-7 2 7 1 0 0 22 15 -1.2
Cliff Davis * 30 6-14 2-8 2-3 6 0 1 0 2 16 7 +3.5
Gabe Newhof * 23 4-9 0-0 1-5 3 1 0 0 1 9 3 -6.0
Justin McBride * 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 3 5 2 -2.1
Preston Fowler 23 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 5 -11.1
Paul Jones III 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -12.9
Paul Lewis 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -7.9
Eli Wilborn 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 2 6 -0.8
Justin Taylor 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 1 0 1 3 -1.0
Christian Brown 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elijah Tucker * 26 2-6 0-0 8-9 5 0 1 0 1 12 11 +4.8
Alphonzo Billups III * 26 4-9 0-3 2-2 4 1 3 0 1 10 8 -3.9
Johan Nziemi * 24 2-7 1-4 7-8 8 1 1 0 1 12 14 -5.9
Emanuel Richards * 23 2-8 2-5 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 7 2 +12.0
Jacoi Hutchinson * 21 2-5 0-0 8-8 4 2 1 0 2 12 12 +7.1
Elijah Jones 23 2-5 0-2 4-6 4 3 0 0 1 8 9 +8.6
Redd Thompson Jr. 17 3-6 0-1 6-7 4 3 0 0 0 12 13 +6.8
Jaylen Benard 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 +6.6
KJ McClurg 13 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 +9.8
Jaylin Payne 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 +2.7
Isaiah Kalala 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter