Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia Southern Eagles | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.9% | 12.1% | -16.8 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.2% | 7.8% | -13.6 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs -4 (84-88). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Georgia Southern Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spudd Webb * | 35 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Alden Applewhite * | 32 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | +3.9 |
| Jayden Williams * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Tyren Moore * | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +6.3 |
| Shainen Carter * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -0.5 |
| Nakavieon White | 25 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 7-10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 16 | -0.9 |
| Dwayne Williams Jr | 25 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | -7.2 |
| Andres Burney | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +3.5 |
| Khayri Dunn | 18 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | -8.6 |
| Tsvet Sotirov | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -0.3 |
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Hawkins * | 34 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | +2.3 |
| Curtis Williams III * | 31 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -3.6 |
| Jacob Hogarth * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 18 | +8.2 |
| Spence Sims * | 28 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +6.4 |
| Ace Talbert * | 24 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -7 | -12.2 |
| Jacob Hudson | 33 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 17 | -4.6 |
| Riek Riek | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -12.1 |
| Jamias Ferere | 9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +1.5 |
* = starter