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2025-12-02

Model Predictions

Model UC San Diego Tritons Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 38.3% 61.7% -
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% -
Margin 15.2% 84.8% +9.4 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.1% 85.9% -
Log Adjusted 13.8% 86.2% -
Points Off/Def 27.7% 72.3% -

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +6 (76-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC San Diego Tritons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Beattie * 32 5-13 1-3 0-2 5 3 1 0 1 11 6 -4.5
L. Beath * 31 7-13 1-4 2-2 2 0 1 1 0 17 8 -2.1
A. Burke * 30 2-9 2-7 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 8 4 -6.8
E. Prospere II * 26 6-13 0-1 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 12 7 +3.4
B. Dengdit * 24 3-6 0-0 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 8 8 -9.7
H. Mayes 21 2-6 0-0 2-3 9 0 0 1 2 6 8 -1.6
A. Chaikin 19 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 3 +4.3
T. Johnson 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -1.6
C. Pendleton 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.4

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Camper Jr. * 30 3-10 2-6 7-8 3 3 0 0 2 15 9 +4.8
T. Comer * 28 4-8 2-4 2-3 2 6 0 0 1 12 11 +0.1
E. Price * 26 4-11 1-2 0-4 8 1 0 3 0 9 10 +5.6
C. Bailey III * 21 4-10 1-4 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 9 5 -4.5
K. Lowery * 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 4 -6.2
P. White 22 4-7 0-2 3-5 9 0 0 1 0 11 14 +3.7
V. Weems 21 5-6 1-2 0-0 5 0 2 0 2 11 10 +8.3
E. Croley 13 1-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 0 3 5 +2.5
M. Walker 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 1 4 8 -2.1
T. Rolison 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 2 +4.3

* = starter