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2025-12-05

Model Predictions

Model UAB Blazers Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 48.4% 51.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 64.8% 35.2% - โœ“
Margin 59.8% 40.2% -2.2 โœ“ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 76.0% 24.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 69.7% 30.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 69.7% 30.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.0% 47.0% - โœ“

Actual: Drake Bulldogs -5 (69-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UAB Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ahmad Robinson 35 6-13 2-6 2-2 3 1 1 0 3 16 5 +5.4
Jacob Meyer 31 2-10 0-3 4-4 5 2 0 0 2 8 3 -4.2
Evan Chatman 28 1-3 0-2 5-7 15 0 2 2 2 7 21 -1.4
Daniel Rivera 28 3-7 0-0 2-5 6 0 0 2 0 8 9 -4.2
Chance Westry 25 6-11 1-3 4-5 1 2 0 2 2 17 9 +9.0
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin 24 6-11 0-0 2-2 11 0 0 3 1 14 16 +6.7
Salim London 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 +2.2
Ari Gooch 9 1-1 0-0 2-3 1 0 2 0 0 4 6 -4.4
Dayjaun Anderson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 +2.4

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Quinn 39 7-18 3-6 9-10 6 1 3 0 1 26 17 -2.1
Andrew Alia 30 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 2 1 0 3 7 +3.7
Braden Appelhans 23 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -3 -4.2
Okku Federiko 21 3-5 0-0 0-2 5 1 1 0 0 6 8 -7.6
Eli Shetlar 19 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 8 7 -6.6
W. Exacte 18 2-6 0-1 0-1 4 1 1 0 0 4 4 +5.5
Jaehshon Thomas 17 2-8 1-4 1-1 1 2 0 0 3 6 -2 +1.1
Isaiah Carr 13 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 3 0 8 13 +15.2
Owen Larson 11 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 -6.3
Griffen Goodbary 9 0-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -6.2

* = starter