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2025-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Murray State Racers Spread Result
Elo 63.6% 36.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 36.4% 63.6% - โœ“
Margin 5.4% 94.6% +15.8 โœ“ (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 32.2% 67.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“

Actual: Murray State Racers +32 (84-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
George Marshall * 30 2-10 0-3 1-2 6 1 3 0 1 5 4 -0.1
Anouar Mellouk * 29 4-10 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 9 2 +2.8
Davion Cunningham * 26 3-6 1-2 3-6 4 1 1 0 2 10 8 +3.4
Tamaury Releford * 20 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 8 3 +6.9
Josiah LeGree * 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 0 +0.8
Chase Dawson 32 4-9 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 8 -1 +2.4
Jon Carroll 17 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 2 -2.9
Tyonne Farrell 14 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 2 2 0 3 5 5 +3.5
Vince Dawson III 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 +5.3
Clayton Parker 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.6
Jace Winkleman 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +0.1

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mason Miller * 26 3-5 3-5 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 10 11 -1.7
Layne Taylor * 23 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 5 0 0 1 5 6 +1.6
JJ Traynor * 22 4-9 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 9 4 -1.7
Fredrick King * 22 3-4 0-0 6-10 8 0 0 1 4 12 13 +3.8
Javon Jackson * 17 3-11 2-5 6-7 3 4 0 0 0 14 10 +5.0
Mathis Courbon 23 4-7 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 10 5 -8.9
Roman Domon 18 4-7 0-1 2-4 10 1 2 0 2 10 14 -2.4
KJ Tenner 17 3-6 0-2 4-4 6 1 0 0 1 10 10 -5.6
Brayden Shorter 14 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 -2.5
Dylan Anderson 9 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 -3.2
Brock Vice 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 2 -4.3

* = starter