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2025-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Alabama State Hornets UAB Blazers Spread Result
Elo 5.4% 94.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 12.2% 87.8% - โœ—
Margin 3.3% 96.7% +18.5 โœ— (21.5 off)
Pythagorean 27.6% 72.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 8.1% 91.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 16.0% 84.0% - โœ—

Actual: UAB Blazers -3 (74-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Miller 15 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 5 6 -9.9
Micah Simpson * 32 6-14 6-11 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 18 8 +20.1
Asjon Anderson * 31 4-17 1-8 11-16 2 7 4 0 1 20 15 +11.1
Jerquarius Stanback * 27 4-7 0-1 0-0 6 3 1 2 0 8 13 +24.2
Cam Palesse * 26 3-4 0-1 0-2 4 2 0 1 0 6 9 +11.8
R'Chaun King * 19 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 6 0 +9.1
Tyler Byrd 17 3-5 0-1 2-2 8 0 2 0 1 8 12 +2.9
D. Yates 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -7.6
Mario Andrews 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 4 7 +5.9
Tyler Mason 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 +0.9

UAB Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daniel Rivera * 29 3-9 0-0 1-3 8 0 1 3 0 7 10 -11.5
Evan Chatman * 28 2-6 0-3 0-0 9 0 0 0 0 4 7 -14.3
Jacob Meyer * 27 2-8 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 4 5 -3 -20.1
Chance Westry * 27 10-16 2-5 3-3 2 0 1 0 1 25 11 -8.7
Ahmad Robinson * 25 5-12 0-5 2-2 1 4 1 0 3 12 3 -13.8
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin 23 5-7 0-0 4-4 5 1 1 1 0 14 15 -6.6
Salim London 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 0 4 +1.0
Dayjaun Anderson 11 1-5 0-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -4 -0.6
Quaran McPherson 11 1-4 0-1 3-4 2 1 0 1 1 5 4 +4.6
Ari Gooch 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.2

* = starter