Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Rice Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.8% | 40.2% | -2.2 | ✗ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rice Owls +1 (77-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hampton | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +5.3 |
| K. Hayman | 28 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 27 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +6.2 |
| Chandler Jackson | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Christian Harmon | 20 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Smith | 19 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +10.2 |
| F. Sylla | 19 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| TJ Caldwell | 18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Chudi Dioramma | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Aly Tounkara | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Smith | 33 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | -8.6 |
| Cam Carroll | 29 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -10.2 |
| Trae Broadnax | 26 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Nick Anderson | 24 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | -12.6 |
| Jimmy Oladokun Jr. | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Bodey Howell | 18 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | +7.4 |
| Eternity Eguagie | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Stephen Giwa | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -5.8 |
| Andrew Akuchie | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Jordan Williams | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.1 |
* = starter