Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Rice Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | +5.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rice Owls +5 (77-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Hall * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | +2.3 |
| Mark Drone * | 27 | 8-16 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 7 | +5.7 |
| Kaden Gumbs * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4.5 |
| Makai Willis * | 20 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +4.4 |
| Franck Emmou * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Kyndall Davis | 27 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | +9.7 |
| Dimp Pernell | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -7.5 |
| Robert Fields | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.2 |
| T. Sant | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ky Pernell | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -6.3 |
| Jalen Bolden | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -9.1 |
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Anderson * | 32 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +7.4 |
| Jalen Smith * | 31 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 7 | +7.9 |
| Trae Broadnax * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 21 | +1.4 |
| Cam Carroll * | 25 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +7.4 |
| Jimmy Oladokun Jr. * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Stephen Giwa | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +4.6 |
| Eternity Eguagie | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4.8 |
| Andrew Akuchie | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Bodey Howell | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.9 |
| Jordan Williams | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -2.9 |
* = starter