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2025-12-29

Model Predictions

Model James Madison Dukes Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 11.1% 88.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 11.0% 89.0% - ✓
Margin 0.7% 99.3% +27.2 ✓ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 30.6% 69.4% - ✓

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +29 (103-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

James Madison Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Douglas 36 7-17 4-10 1-2 2 4 2 0 5 19 5 -9.8
Justin McBride 35 5-10 1-4 2-2 5 1 0 1 3 13 7 -13.6
Eddie Ricks III 25 1-4 0-1 2-2 6 2 0 0 2 4 6 +1.3
Cliff Davis 23 3-6 3-6 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 9 5 -5.5
Preston Fowler 19 2-5 2-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 8 8 -7.6
Paul Jones III 18 2-6 2-6 3-5 1 2 0 0 1 9 5 -2.7
Christian Brown 18 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 2 1 6 9 -
Gabe Newhof 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 2 -14.2
Eli Wilborn 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 1 2 0 0 1 6 +5.8
Justin Taylor 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 +3.0
Kose Egbule 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +2.0
Paul Lewis 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Acuff Jr. 30 7-12 3-6 0-0 1 6 0 0 1 17 11 +0.8
Trevon Brazile 27 3-6 0-2 2-2 7 3 2 3 1 8 16 +12.1
Meleek Thomas 27 8-16 6-10 6-7 2 0 0 0 0 28 14 +22.2
D.J. Wagner 26 4-8 4-5 2-4 0 4 0 0 0 14 10 +1.4
Billy Richmond III 21 4-6 0-2 0-0 4 6 1 0 2 8 11 +14.1
Nick Pringle 19 1-1 0-0 2-4 6 2 1 1 0 4 13 +11.8
Malique Ewin 19 3-5 0-0 5-8 9 1 3 2 1 11 20 +0.5
Karter Knox 18 3-7 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 7 5 -4.9
Isaiah Sealy 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 5 -3.0
E. Džafić 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
Jaden Karuletwa 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0
Ayden Kelley 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -2.0
Amere Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter