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2025-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 13.5% 86.5% -
Bradley-Terry 13.9% 86.1% -
Margin 0.7% 99.3% +27.5 (23.5 off)
Pythagorean 36.7% 63.3% -
Points Off/Def 30.4% 69.6% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +4 (79-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Booth * 33 3-15 2-10 6-6 2 3 1 0 1 14 4 -1.7
K. Norris * 33 4-10 1-4 2-2 4 5 1 0 2 11 9 +4.3
C. Norris * 31 6-8 3-5 0-0 6 4 1 0 0 15 18 +13.1
D. Faulkner * 22 6-10 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 2 13 7 +5.5
J. Pollard * 20 2-4 1-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 5 7 +1.7
I. Campbell-Finch 18 1-6 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -6 -10.1
Z. Wilburn 17 6-9 3-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 15 10 +4.3
W. Shaver 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 0 5 +4.9
K. Martin 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 0 3 +5.7
J. Bjornstad 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.1

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Thomas * 36 5-13 1-2 6-6 8 4 2 1 2 17 17 -6.2
D. Acuff Jr. * 31 7-13 2-3 4-5 3 5 0 0 2 20 13 -9.3
D.J. Wagner * 28 3-5 1-2 3-4 3 2 1 0 0 10 11 -0.3
K. Knox * 27 2-5 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 4 5 +2.1
N. Pringle * 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.5
B. Richmond III 27 4-7 1-3 1-2 5 0 1 1 1 10 9 -2.4
T. Brazile 23 6-14 1-5 2-3 7 0 0 1 1 15 8 -1.9
M. Ewin 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 -1 -0.4
I. Sealy 2 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 -2.6

* = starter