Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +3 (69-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Acuff Jr. * | 33 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 4-7 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | -10.3 |
| D.J. Wagner * | 31 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | -7.6 |
| B. Richmond III * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -6.2 |
| N. Pringle * | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | -4.5 |
| T. Brazile * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -7.0 |
| M. Thomas | 29 | 5-15 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | -1.6 |
| K. Knox | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -8.0 |
| M. Ewin | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4.9 |
| I. Sealy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fears Jr. * | 35 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | +13.3 |
| J. Kohler * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | +7.5 |
| C. Carr * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | +9.1 |
| C. Cooper * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | +10.3 |
| T. Fort * | 15 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +4.8 |
| J. Scott | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +5.8 |
| C. Ward | 23 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +4.0 |
| D. Ugochukwu | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.4 |
| K. Teng | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +0.3 |
| J. McCulloch | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0.4 |
* = starter