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2025-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Nicholls Colonels Murray State Racers Spread Result
Elo 38.9% 61.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.2% 73.8% - โœ“
Margin 10.5% 89.5% +11.8 โœ“ (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 28.6% 71.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“

Actual: Murray State Racers +20 (99-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nicholls Colonels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae English * 38 6-13 2-5 3-4 3 3 1 0 3 17 8 -9.5
Sincere Malone * 36 6-10 1-2 2-2 3 4 5 0 6 15 11 -11.6
Christian Winborne * 34 4-12 2-6 4-5 5 1 2 0 0 14 10 -
Jalik Dunkley * 30 9-15 0-1 0-0 4 1 5 1 1 18 13 -5.0
Jalin Rice * 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -12.6
Grant Sanders 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 0 6 -1.9
Jaylen Searles 19 4-9 3-6 2-2 1 1 1 1 2 13 6 -6.9
Zaiden Cross 10 0-6 0-3 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 -3 +1.8
Domanic Betancourt 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.2
Jordan Matthews 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9
Nick Krass 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +0.2
Kevin Pazmino 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fredrick King * 29 8-8 0-0 8-9 10 1 2 5 1 24 33 +3.2
Layne Taylor * 29 5-9 4-7 0-0 3 4 2 0 3 14 11 +20.9
Javon Jackson * 27 6-14 3-6 8-9 3 4 3 0 6 23 13 +10.1
Mason Miller * 23 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 5 7 +8.4
JJ Traynor * 20 2-4 1-1 4-5 4 0 0 0 2 9 7 +0.3
Roman Domon 20 3-4 2-3 3-4 5 2 0 0 4 11 10 +11.3
Mathis Courbon 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 2 4 +1.6
Brayden Shorter 14 1-2 1-2 2-3 1 0 0 1 0 5 5 -2.7
KJ Tenner 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 0 -3.6
Dylan Anderson 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 +6.6
Brock Vice 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +1.9

* = starter