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2025-11-11

Model Predictions

Model App State Mountaineers Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 13.1% 86.9% -
Bradley-Terry 25.4% 74.6% -
Margin 1.5% 98.5% +23.2 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% -
Efficiency 82.8% 17.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 10.2% 89.8% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +22 (75-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

App State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Jennings * 32 5-17 2-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 12 -6 -16.2
L. Wilson * 28 3-4 0-0 1-3 7 1 0 0 0 7 11 -8.5
E. Banks * 27 1-5 0-2 2-3 3 3 0 0 0 4 5 -19.6
A. Dodd * 19 0-6 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 0 -3 -6.9
C. Moodie * 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -6.4
A. Njock 25 3-6 2-5 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 8 8 -21.0
J. Clarke Jr. 22 3-4 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 8 7 -8.0
J. Tot 19 3-7 3-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 3 -14.3
M. Marcus Jr. 14 2-6 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 2 -4.8
J. Brim 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +5.0

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Thornton * 32 3-7 2-4 5-6 3 3 2 1 1 13 14 +19.1
C. Tilly * 30 2-9 0-6 5-5 5 4 0 0 0 9 9 +17.5
B. Noel * 27 8-10 1-3 0-0 11 1 0 0 0 17 19 +25.9
J. Mobley Jr. * 26 3-11 2-5 8-9 4 3 0 0 0 16 12 +18.8
C. White * 18 0-2 0-2 0-1 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 +18.1
G. Cupps 27 1-4 1-3 2-2 4 1 1 0 0 5 7 +17.2
T. Chatman 13 1-1 1-1 0-2 0 3 0 0 1 3 4 -6.7
A. Bynum 13 3-8 0-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 8 1 -5.1
I. Njegovan 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 4 5 +4.0
M. Grujicic 5 0-1 0-0 0-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.1

* = starter