๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2025-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern State Demons San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 10.2% 89.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.2% 82.8% - โœ“
Margin 7.3% 92.7% +14.0 โœ“ (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 13.8% 86.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.2% 95.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.1% 95.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.3% 77.7% - โœ“

Actual: San Francisco Dons +20 (84-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kordrick Turner * 28 2-3 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 0 0 6 8 -8.0
Micah Thomas * 27 2-9 0-2 6-8 2 4 0 0 3 10 4 -3.6
Justin Redmond * 18 3-8 2-4 3-3 1 1 0 0 1 11 4 -6.4
Izzy Miles * 14 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -6.8
Moustapha Loum * 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -2.1
Landyn Jumawan 26 4-9 1-5 4-5 2 2 0 0 0 13 8 -8.1
J.C. Riley Jr. 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 4 3 -0.6
Chris Mubiru 19 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -1.3
Omar Adegbola 17 3-8 1-1 1-4 1 0 0 0 0 8 1 +0.8
Chip Brunt 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 2 5 +3.8
CJ Larry 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 3 3 +4.1

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mookie Cook * 26 5-6 3-4 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 15 13 +1.5
Tyrone Riley IV * 25 4-7 0-1 3-3 5 1 0 1 0 11 11 +3.2
Junjie Wang * 22 1-3 1-3 1-2 3 4 2 0 2 4 8 +5.0
Guillermo Diaz Graham * 20 2-2 1-1 3-3 5 2 0 1 0 8 14 +1.4
Vukasin Masic * 16 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 3 3 +9.2
Legend Smiley 24 4-7 3-6 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 12 4 +1.4
David Fuchs 17 2-5 1-2 8-11 5 1 0 2 1 13 15 +1.2
Weilun Zhao 14 1-4 0-2 3-4 0 4 1 0 1 5 5 -1.4
Veniamin Abosi 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 3 6 +6.8
Aidan Braccia 13 1-3 1-3 0-2 2 1 1 0 1 3 3 -5.3
Saba Gigiberia 9 3-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 7 8 -3.8

* = starter