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2025-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 36.3% 63.7% +2.6 โœ“ (8.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% - โœ“
Margin 36.8% 63.2% +3.0 โœ“ (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 60.6% 39.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 46.8% 53.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“

Actual: San Francisco Dons +11 (75-64). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaquan Johnson * 28 4-13 1-4 7-8 4 3 4 1 3 16 12 -4.9
Alex Huibregtse * 28 3-12 3-12 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 11 0 -7.6
Ahmet Jonovic * 25 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 6 9 -7.4
AJ Smith * 21 1-4 1-3 3-3 3 0 1 1 1 6 6 +1.6
Corey Thomas * 21 0-6 0-4 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 2 -1 +1.1
Montana Wheeler 25 4-9 1-5 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 9 3 -10.6
Demarion Burch 24 2-8 1-5 4-6 1 0 0 0 0 9 2 -8.1
Timoty van der Knaap 21 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 5 3 -9.7
Kai Yu 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -8.8

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Beasley * 35 8-12 3-6 4-4 5 5 2 0 3 23 20 +15.0
Vukasin Masic * 31 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 5 5 -2 +10.2
Tyrone Riley IV * 27 3-6 1-2 0-0 7 3 1 0 0 7 12 +8.5
Junjie Wang * 18 2-6 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 5 3 +12.2
Guillermo Diaz Graham * 7 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 2 0 -4.5
Mookie Cook 30 3-8 2-4 0-0 6 2 1 1 4 8 6 +9.6
David Fuchs 28 6-9 1-1 4-8 12 0 0 0 2 17 18 +21.5
Veniamin Abosi 12 0-3 0-1 5-7 3 0 1 0 0 5 6 +0.3
Legend Smiley 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -6.4
Saba Gigiberia 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 0 4 -9.3

* = starter