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2025-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 54.5% 45.5% -
Bradley-Terry 52.9% 47.1% -
Margin 39.2% 60.8% +2.4 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% -
Efficiency 78.5% 21.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% -
Log Adjusted 46.8% 53.2% -
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons +11 (75-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Huibregtse * 28 3-12 3-12 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 11 0 -10.7
J. Johnson * 28 4-13 1-4 7-8 4 3 4 1 3 16 12 -14.8
A. Jonovic * 25 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 6 9 -7.1
C. Thomas * 21 0-6 0-4 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 2 -1 -14.8
AJ Smith * 21 1-4 1-3 3-3 3 0 1 1 1 6 6 -2.0
M. Wheeler 25 4-9 1-5 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 9 3 -12.8
D. Burch 24 2-8 1-5 4-6 1 0 0 0 0 9 2 -15.0
T. van der Knaap 21 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 5 3 -9.9
K. Yu 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -7.0

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ry. Beasley * 35 8-12 3-6 4-4 5 5 2 0 3 23 20 +22.2
V. Masic * 31 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 5 5 -2 +13.0
T. Riley IV * 27 3-6 1-2 0-0 7 3 1 0 0 7 12 +17.0
J. Wang * 18 2-6 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 5 3 +9.0
G. Diaz Graham * 7 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 2 0 -0.9
M. Cook 30 3-8 2-4 0-0 6 2 1 1 4 8 6 +15.2
D. Fuchs 28 6-9 1-1 4-8 12 0 0 0 2 17 18 +17.0
V. Abosi 12 0-3 0-1 5-7 3 0 1 0 0 5 6 -3.0
L. Smiley 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 +3.0
S. Gigiberia 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 0 4 +3.0

* = starter