Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.6% | 96.4% | +18.1 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators +2 (78-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McCray V * | 34 | 9-21 | 2-6 | 9-12 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 13 | -6.7 |
| C. Wiggins * | 33 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | -4.1 |
| K. MaGee * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | -9.3 |
| L. Jones * | 25 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +2.0 |
| A. Steen * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | -6.8 |
| M. Somerville | 30 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1.8 |
| T. Bassong | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +3.7 |
| C. Miles | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4.2 |
| A. Maluk | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Haugh * | 38 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 4-7 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 21 | +8.1 |
| X. Lee * | 36 | 2-13 | 1-10 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +0.8 |
| B. Fland * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | +8.5 |
| A. Condon * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 11 | -6.8 |
| R. Chinyelu * | 24 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 15 | +7.4 |
| U. Klavzar | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +8.0 |
| M. Handlogten | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1.4 |
| I. Brown | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +8.8 |
| CJ Ingram | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.0 |
* = starter