Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.7% | 99.3% | +27.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +37 (101-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Miller | 28 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -4 | -16.4 |
| Cam Palesse * | 36 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -15.2 |
| Micah Simpson * | 28 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | -33.4 |
| Asjon Anderson * | 25 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 6 | -20.4 |
| R'Chaun King * | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -9.0 |
| Jerquarius Stanback * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -13.2 |
| Demarien Yates | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | -15.0 |
| Tyler Mason | 20 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -16.7 |
| Mario Andrews | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -20.7 |
| Tyler Byrd | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -0.8 |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lajae Jones * | 25 | 8-10 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | +20.3 |
| Kobe MaGee * | 24 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | +21.8 |
| Robert McCray V * | 24 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +20.4 |
| Chauncey Wiggins * | 23 | 4-13 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +21.4 |
| Alex Steen * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | +20.5 |
| Martin Somerville | 26 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +21.4 |
| Cam Miles | 19 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +7.9 |
| Thomas Bassong | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +10.0 |
| Alier Maluk | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +8.2 |
| Shahid Muhammad | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +8.6 |
| Jalen Crawford | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.9 |
* = starter