Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.0% | 99.0% | +25.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +37 (101-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Miller | 28 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -4 | -8.1 |
| Cam Palesse * | 36 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -10.0 |
| Micah Simpson * | 28 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | -17.9 |
| Asjon Anderson * | 25 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 6 | -8.9 |
| R'Chaun King * | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +3.1 |
| Jerquarius Stanback * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.5 |
| D. Yates | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | -6.1 |
| Tyler Mason | 20 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -11.3 |
| Mario Andrews | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.5 |
| Tyler Byrd | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +6.3 |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lajae Jones * | 25 | 8-10 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | +5.1 |
| Kobe MaGee * | 24 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | +5.5 |
| Robert McCray V * | 24 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +5.5 |
| Chauncey Wiggins * | 23 | 4-13 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +13.9 |
| Alex Steen * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | +7.6 |
| Martin Somerville | 26 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +7.7 |
| Cam Miles | 19 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Thomas Bassong | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +4.2 |
| Alier Maluk | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +3.2 |
| Shahid Muhammad | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +3.2 |
| Jalen Crawford | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.7 |
* = starter