Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.9% | 90.1% | +12.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +16 (82-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Douglas * | 37 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | -5.3 |
| E. Ricks III * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -8.2 |
| J. McBride * | 36 | 5-16 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | -6.3 |
| C. Davis * | 28 | 2-10 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -4.5 |
| G. Newhof * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -9.7 |
| C. Brown | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| P. Jones III | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3.9 |
| E. Wilborn | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +1.1 |
| P. Fowler | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.9 |
| P. Lewis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mincy * | 37 | 8-15 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 18 | +4.9 |
| J. Long * | 34 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | +10.3 |
| R. Allenspach * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | +8.9 |
| M. Presley * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +1.4 |
| D. Adebayo * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.1 |
| M. Troutman | 25 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | +4.1 |
| F. Hill | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +6.1 |
| N. Ellington | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +7.5 |
| E. Kanga | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +1.6 |
* = starter