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2025-11-07

Model Predictions

Model UIC Flames Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 13.8% 86.2% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 14.1% 85.9% - βœ“
Margin 2.0% 98.0% +21.5 βœ“ (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% - βœ“
Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 13.7% 86.3% - βœ“

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +16 (72-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UIC Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jessica Carrothers 37 8-15 1-3 0-2 4 3 0 0 2 17 7 +19.2
Julia Coleman 36 8-20 0-0 4-7 8 0 2 0 3 20 7 +26.9
Sara Zabrecky 35 1-1 1-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 2 4 2 +25.5
T. Clayton 24 1-7 0-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 3 -2 +23.8
Crystal Ortiz 24 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 6 +0.6
Samantha Serrano 24 1-4 0-3 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 4 5 +1.7
Marissa Green 10 2-4 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 +7.3
Magdalena Winter 9 1-2 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 2 2 3 +11.8
Jarius Powers 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.4

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shay Ciezki 37 12-21 7-10 4-4 4 2 2 1 1 35 22 -22.9
Nevaeh Caffey 34 2-7 1-2 0-2 0 5 1 0 1 5 3 -22.4
Zania Socka-Nguemen 33 8-13 0-0 3-3 13 1 0 0 2 19 18 -20.3
Lenée Beaumont 33 2-6 0-3 0-0 9 5 0 0 4 4 8 -16.5
V. Kadlecova 22 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -14.4
Maya Makalusky 18 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -4.0
P. Stotijn 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -2.1
Edessa Noyan 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 +0.1
Chloe Spreen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1
Jerni Kiaku 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1

* = starter