Model Predictions
| Model | Lindenwood Lions | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.3% | 18.7% | -8.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -16 (52-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lindenwood Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Brueggemann | 29 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 13 | +7.6 |
| A. Jones | 28 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | +9.2 |
| G. Kelsey | 27 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +3.3 |
| B. Coffey | 24 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +19.4 |
| M. Skoff | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -1.7 |
| G. Wernli | 22 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +9.2 |
| A. Nielsen | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1.9 |
| V. Norwood | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | +5.9 |
| A. McCarn | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 |
| N. Garcia | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +1.3 |
| K. Mantziori | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.8 |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Knutson | 31 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -7.2 |
| B. Dailey | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +8.4 |
| P. McCabe | 23 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +0.7 |
| A. Aalsma | 21 | 3-11 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -3 | -13.4 |
| Q. Vice | 20 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 13 | -11.3 |
| A. Becker | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -16.1 |
| A. Hawthorne | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | -2.1 |
| M. Taylor | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -6.3 |
| L. Carlsen | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -10.3 |
| S. Fornshell | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | +8.4 |
| T. Gray | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +10.0 |
* = starter