Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | St. Thomas Tommies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | +1.4 | ✓ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. Thomas Tommies +20 (70-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie Aalsma | 34 | 6-17 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Grace Knutson | 27 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Maggie Taylor | 27 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Lexi Carlsen | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Ava Hawthorne | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Anna Becker | 18 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shannon Fornshell | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brooklin Dailey | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Peyton McCabe | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Taedyn Gray | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Quinn Vice | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
St. Thomas Tommies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Feuerbach | 38 | 1-11 | 1-8 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Hood | 36 | 8-14 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| A. Sand | 31 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | - |
| L. Hauge | 25 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. McGowan | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| M. Werner | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| L. Aalsma | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. McCall | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| A. Vallance | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Gage | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Ludwig | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter