Model Predictions
| Model | Norfolk State Spartans | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✓ (23.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +28 (66-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anjanae Richardson | 33 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Jasha Clinton | 32 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Cire Worley | 32 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Da'Brya Clark | 29 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Carmen Kweti | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ciara Bailey | 18 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jenesis Hill | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| LeAire Nicks | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Niyah Gaston | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisia Mitchell | 30 | 7-12 | 5-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Emma Smith | 28 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - |
| Emily Hege | 26 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | - |
| F. Atili | 25 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Jada Burton | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Elena Pericic | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Riley Stoker | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jayden McBride | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Addie Biel | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zoe McCrary | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Isa Roman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marta Gutierrez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter