Model Predictions
| Model | UC San Diego Tritons | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers -8 (59-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makayla Rose | 40 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 17 | +0.5 |
| Dymonique Maxie | 38 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -2.7 |
| Erin Condron | 36 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | +1.0 |
| Sabrina Ma | 32 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +6.8 |
| Rosa Smith | 28 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | +7.3 |
| Junae Mahan | 16 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -10.1 |
| Nicki Polocheck | 6 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -3.1 |
| Damilola Sule | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.8 |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filipa Barros | 29 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Lauren Olsen | 28 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | +9.6 |
| Khloe Lemon | 25 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +2.5 |
| Emma Johansson | 24 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -2.0 |
| CeCe Legaspi | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -5.2 |
| Reyleigh Hess | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Shawnee Nordstrom | 18 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +6.5 |
| Grace Schmidt | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +3.3 |
| Chance Bucher | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | -11.8 |
| Sofia Alonso | 5 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -2.0 |
* = starter