Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.1% | 83.9% | +9.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +15 (81-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Chambers | 40 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | -10.1 |
| K. Doman | 38 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -5.9 |
| A. Uhrich | 33 | 6-18 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | -18.2 |
| A. Banks | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 14 | -7.8 |
| D. Kiernan | 19 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | +0.6 |
| B. Fely | 14 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | +5.2 |
| D. Anderson | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -0.6 |
| M. Trigueiro | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.2 |
| B. Hasan | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| O. Malafu | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.6 |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Pasco | 36 | 8-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | +10.6 |
| Tatum Thompson | 34 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 17 | +9.6 |
| Dani Bayes | 33 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +14.4 |
| Mya Hansen | 33 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +12.2 |
| Libby Hutton | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | +11.8 |
| Morgan Maldonado | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.1 |
| Emily Howard | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Kenna Garza | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Keirra Thompson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.6 |
| Josee Steadman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.5 |
| Izzie Harms | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.5 |
* = starter