Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Missouri State Lady Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.4% | 72.6% | +3.3 | ✗ (22.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.7% | 35.3% | -6.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Lady Bears -19 (49-68). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allie Turner * | 35 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Lauren Whittaker * | 26 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Zeryhia Aokuso * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Ines Bettencourt * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Taylor Smith * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jaiden Haile | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Teryn Gardner | 19 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| McKynnlie Dalan | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Julia Wilson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Christabel Osarobo | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Paige Lofing | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Lady Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaemyn Bekemeier * | 33 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Cady Pauley * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Maycee James * | 29 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Lainie Douglas * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Faith Lee * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Maiesha Washington | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kendal Brueggen | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| JaNyla Bush | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zoe Canfield | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Audrey Hopkins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tyra Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Angel Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Blake O'Grady | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter