Model Predictions
| Model | Grand Canyon Lopes | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | +14.9 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.5% | 89.5% | +11.8 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +4 (62-58). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Mann | 33 | 10-23 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Anisa Jeffries | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | +14.7 |
| Karley Johnson | 28 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +11.5 |
| Ale'Jah Douglas | 28 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -5.3 |
| Julianna LaMendola | 22 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -5.2 |
| Casey Valenti-Paea | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Norah Moo | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -9.4 |
| Favor Ayodele | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +9.0 |
| Holly Griffiths | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.6 |
| Diamond Wright | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Kaitlyn Elsholz | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allie Turner | 32 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | +2.6 |
| Lauren Whittaker | 28 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 26 | -3.2 |
| Ines Bettencourt | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Taylor Smith | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -6.5 |
| Zeryhia Aokuso | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Julia Wilson | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +5.5 |
| Jaiden Haile | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +13.0 |
| Teryn Gardner | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.3 |
| McKynnlie Dalan | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Sierra Lichtie | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2.6 |
| Paige Lofing | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -4.4 |
| Christabel Osarobo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
* = starter