Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.6% | 72.4% | +3.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.8% | 49.2% | -0.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -4 (72-76). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shay Ciezki * | 37 | 10-18 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Lenee Beaumont * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Nevaeh Caffey * | 34 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Zania Socka-Nguemen * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Valentyna Kadlecova * | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Maya Makalusky | 20 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Phoenix Stotijn | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Edessa Noyan | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allie Turner * | 31 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Ines Bettencourt * | 28 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Lauren Whittaker * | 26 | 9-18 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Taylor Smith * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Zeryhia Aokuso * | 21 | 1-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Jaiden Haile | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Teryn Gardner | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Julia Wilson | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| McKynnlie Dalan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Christabel Osarobo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter