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2025-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 19.6% 80.4% -
Bradley-Terry 41.1% 58.9% -
Margin 49.4% 50.6% +0.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 36.3% 63.7% -
Efficiency 14.8% 85.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.9% 44.1% -
Log Adjusted 58.5% 41.5% -
Points Off/Def 47.6% 52.4% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -4 (72-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ciezki 37 10-18 3-6 1-1 2 3 2 0 3 24 10 -9.0
L. Beaumont 35 4-11 0-4 3-5 6 4 0 0 1 11 9 -4.5
N. Caffey 34 4-4 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 1 2 10 12 +1.5
Z. Socka-Nguemen 31 3-8 0-0 4-4 8 3 0 0 2 10 11 +9.8
M. Makalusky 20 4-8 1-5 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 10 8 -13.8
V. Kadlecova 16 2-4 1-3 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 +6.9
P. Stotijn 14 0-2 0-2 3-4 0 1 0 1 1 3 2 +3.5
E. Noyan 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -9.2

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Turner 31 7-14 4-7 3-4 2 2 0 1 3 21 9 +8.2
I. Bettencourt 28 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 5 1 0 1 3 8 +2.9
L. Whittaker 26 9-18 2-5 7-7 5 3 2 1 2 27 18 +13.9
T. Smith 25 2-7 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 1 1 4 5 -5.1
J. Haile 24 4-8 0-0 2-3 9 4 0 0 0 10 15 -1.4
Z. Aokuso 21 1-12 0-3 1-2 3 2 2 0 1 3 -3 +4.5
T. Gardner 21 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 2 +6.1
J. Wilson 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 +4.6
M. Dalan 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +4.7
C. Osarobo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +1.8

* = starter