Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | South Dakota State Jackrabbits | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.5% | 87.5% | +12.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Dakota State Jackrabbits +9 (72-63). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allie Turner * | 33 | 8-17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 4 | -6.9 |
| Zeryhia Aokuso * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Lauren Whittaker * | 27 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 14 | +2.4 |
| Taylor Smith * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3 | +3.7 |
| Ines Bettencourt * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Julia Wilson | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +6.9 |
| Jaiden Haile | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | -2.3 |
| Teryn Gardner | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -7.7 |
| McKynnlie Dalan | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
| Paige Lofing | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.2 |
| Christabel Osarobo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Sierra Lichtie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooklyn Meyer * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +19.2 |
| Katie Vasecka * | 28 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | -3.1 |
| Maggie Hartwig * | 26 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +7.4 |
| Emilee Fox * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | +12.7 |
| Madison Mathiowetz * | 24 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | +11.0 |
| Hadley Thul | 20 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +3.6 |
| Mahli Abdouch | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -5.1 |
| Hilary Behrens | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -6.9 |
| Ellie Colbeck | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -4.5 |
| Brooklynn Felchle | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.1 |
* = starter