Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | North Dakota State Bison | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | +2.7 | ✗ (17.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.1% | 61.9% | +2.7 | ✗ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Dakota State Bison -15 (66-81). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allie Turner * | 32 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +14.8 |
| Ines Bettencourt * | 28 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +5.3 |
| Taylor Smith * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +11.1 |
| Zeryhia Aokuso * | 21 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +9.5 |
| Lauren Whittaker * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | +4.4 |
| McKynnlie Dalan | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +6.8 |
| Julia Wilson | 15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +5.7 |
| Jaiden Haile | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +7.4 |
| Teryn Gardner | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +2.4 |
| Paige Lofing | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.2 |
| Sierra Lichtie | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3.6 |
North Dakota State Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jocelyn Schiller * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | -6.6 |
| Marisa Frost * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Avery Koenen * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | -3.9 |
| Molly Lenz * | 23 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | -0.3 |
| Abby Krzewinski * | 22 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Karrington Asp | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -10.5 |
| Amelia Hobson | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -15.2 |
| Abby Graham | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -13.4 |
| Lily Niebuhr | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
* = starter