Model Predictions
| Model | North Dakota State Bison | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.2% | 42.8% | -1.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +12 (80-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Dakota State Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevian Carson * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | -16.2 |
| Markhi Strickland * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 9 | -6.7 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -11.2 |
| Tay Smith * | 25 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Noah Feddersen * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -20.6 |
| Andy Stefonowicz | 28 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -6.1 |
| Carson Smith | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Treyson Anderson | 9 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +10.5 |
| Emil Skytta | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +1.8 |
| Max Majerle | 5 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.2 |
| Riley Massey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla * | 34 | 8-10 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 18 | +19.0 |
| Marcus Wilson * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +9.7 |
| Omer Suljanovic * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +12.7 |
| Nils Cooper * | 28 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Niko Rocak * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 14 | +1.5 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 22 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +11.7 |
| Jalen Stokes | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +8.8 |
| Chase Rawlins | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
* = starter