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2025-12-06

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 54.2% 45.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 64.6% 35.4% - โœ“
Margin 86.2% 13.8% -10.1 โœ“ (23.9 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 69.6% 30.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.0% 9.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.3% 8.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 68.5% 31.5% - โœ“

Actual: Portland Pilots -34 (53-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Olivia Hamlin 33 6-16 0-6 0-0 6 2 3 0 1 12 6 +39.7
Marya Hudgins 32 7-15 3-7 3-3 4 3 1 0 2 20 11 +20.9
Brinley Cannon 28 6-12 3-5 4-4 8 3 4 0 3 19 19 +29.8
Sydney Benally 23 2-2 0-0 4-4 1 6 2 0 3 8 12 +27.8
Hattie Ogden 19 3-7 2-5 0-0 4 1 4 0 0 8 10 +21.5
Arielle Mackey-Williams 17 0-3 0-3 1-2 2 2 1 0 3 1 0 +5.1
Braeden Gunlock 13 3-6 2-2 0-2 5 0 0 0 0 8 7 +18.7
Bolanle Yussuf 12 1-5 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 3 4 -6.8
Kambree Barber 12 1-4 0-1 0-1 4 0 0 0 0 2 2 +16.3
Lara Rohkohl 11 1-1 0-0 4-6 2 0 0 1 2 6 6 +21.7

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Barbosa 26 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 1 1 4 2 -1 -31.0
L. Spear 25 3-6 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 6 3 -21.5
J. Dalan 24 4-10 0-0 5-6 4 0 0 5 0 13 12 -2.4
N. Fraley 24 1-6 0-2 1-2 4 2 1 0 0 3 4 -21.7
R. Mogel 23 2-5 0-0 5-6 2 5 0 0 2 9 9 -8.5
N. Anderson 22 2-7 1-6 2-3 2 1 1 1 4 7 1 -
B. Smith 17 2-8 1-5 0-0 2 1 3 0 6 5 -3 -16.7
F. Dallow 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 3 -3 -1.5
J. Kennedy 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 2 5 -22.9
E. Zimmerman 7 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 +3.4
C. Monahan 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -13.6

* = starter