Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | South Florida Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.8% | 97.2% | +19.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Florida Bulls +25 (94-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine | 33 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | -18.3 |
| DJ Armstrong | 30 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | -12.7 |
| Jah'Likai King | 29 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | -14.4 |
| Caden Diggs | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -15.0 |
| Josh Odunowo | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Daylon Dickerson | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -17.7 |
| Riley Jacobs | 15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -4.6 |
| J. Tanchyn | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Cougar Downing | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.3 |
| Paul Greene | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +3.8 |
| Tim Eze | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.2 |
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Pinion | 35 | 9-16 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 15 | +27.5 |
| Izaiyah Nelson | 25 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 21 | +15.9 |
| CJ Brown | 24 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4.6 |
| Adriel Nyorha | 23 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +9.6 |
| Josh Omojafo | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +7.2 |
| Daimion Collins | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +5.5 |
| Devin Haid | 17 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | +21.2 |
| Tristan Beckford | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +5.0 |
| Isaiah Jones | 9 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +9.9 |
| Gavin Hightower | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +5.5 |
| Caleb Sanders | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -8.2 |
* = starter