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2025-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Delaware State Hornets UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 4.9% 95.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 6.9% 93.1% - โœ“
Margin 2.1% 97.9% +21.0 โœ“ (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 3.8% 96.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.4% 78.6% - โœ“

Actual: UMBC Retrievers +14 (71-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Delaware State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ponce James * 33 7-14 1-1 4-4 4 1 1 0 1 19 10 -3.5
Zion Bethea * 26 3-9 0-3 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 6 2 -8.3
Ademar Santos * 22 1-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 3 0 -4.2
Cyril Obasogie * 13 1-5 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 0 2 3 -5.4
Rahmir Moore * 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -8.3
J. St Clair 19 1-6 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 4 1 -
Corey Perkins 18 5-9 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 11 4 +6.2
Miles Webb 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 6 7 +3.4
Bessanty Saragba 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -1.7
K. Watson 12 3-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 1 +0.1
John Clemmons 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 +0.1
Dean Shepherd 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 +0.2

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DJ Armstrong * 34 4-10 4-9 0-0 8 2 0 1 1 12 12 +9.4
Jah'Likai King * 33 5-11 1-5 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 11 5 +9.5
Ace Valentine * 26 2-3 0-1 2-2 3 3 0 0 3 6 6 -4.3
Josh Odunowo * 25 4-9 0-0 2-4 5 2 1 1 1 10 9 +4.9
Riley Jacobs * 17 0-2 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 2 1 4 +7.1
Caden Diggs 20 5-9 0-2 1-1 3 0 0 1 0 11 6 -6.4
Daylon Dickerson 19 5-7 2-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 12 10 -1.9
Cougar Downing 16 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 8 5 +1.1
J. Tanchyn 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3.3
Tim Eze 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1

* = starter