Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.9% | 92.1% | +13.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooklin Dailey | 28 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +3.7 |
| Anna Becker | 28 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -2 | -14.0 |
| Ava Hawthorne | 28 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -6.0 |
| Grace Knutson | 24 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | -16.0 |
| Quinn Vice | 22 | 9-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 16 | -3.5 |
| Peyton McCabe | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +4.4 |
| Abbie Aalsma | 17 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Maggie Taylor | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -5.7 |
| Shannon Fornshell | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +14.0 |
| Lexi Carlsen | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.4 |
| Taedyn Gray | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +5.1 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taleyah Jones | 40 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Bonnie Deas | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 16 | +8.6 |
| Emily Robinson | 29 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Wyvette Mayberry | 27 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -0.7 |
| Jenna Lawrence | 22 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +4.8 |
| Ashlynn Chlarson | 20 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -1 | +6.8 |
| Maria Anais Rodriguez | 20 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -4.4 |
| Harmonie Ware | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -4.8 |
* = starter