Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.9% | 99.1% | +25.7 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +18 (59-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaina Payne | 35 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +21.3 |
| Jordan Holman | 33 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 15 | +18.3 |
| Brenna Burk | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | +0.1 |
| Destinee Salgado | 22 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -2 | +10.8 |
| Mya Cotto | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +17.9 |
| Lidia Belmonte Hurtado | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +7.9 |
| Pearson McVay | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Ashley Lester | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | +0.6 |
| Blessing Teamer | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | +3.8 |
| Naomi Smitherman | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7.0 |
| Jarahle Daniels | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.0 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marley Washenitz | 33 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | -6.7 |
| Amaya Williams | 31 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | -19.8 |
| McKinna Brackens | 29 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -13.8 |
| Heloisa Carrera | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -12.1 |
| Jyah LoVett | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Deborah Davenport | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Gabby Elliott | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -1.8 |
| L. Poa | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -7.7 |
| Martina Fantini | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4.1 |
| Makayla Moore | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.2 |
| Timya Grice | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -0.2 |
* = starter